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#HurricaneBeryl is undergoing an ERC. Windfield may expand and still likely a Major during passage through Windwards. #TropicalStormChris making landfall in W Gulf.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 305 (Idalia) , Major: 305 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 305 (Idalia) Major: 305 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#10A 7:00 am EDT
11.5N 59.1W
Wind: 120MPH
Pres: 965mb
Moving:
W at 20 mph
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TS Chris
ADV#2A 7:00 am EDT
20.0N 96.7W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1005mb
Moving:
W at 13 mph
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doug
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Wave in Central Carribean (Invest 92L Forecast Lounge)
      Tue Aug 13 2013 11:52 AM

The NHC has opined that this feature has a 30% chance of development by the end of the weekend. If it does it will develop near the western extent of the Carribean and into the extreme southern GOM. If development does occur there is model indication that it will move mostly northward toward the central Gulf coast. The most reliable models are not develpoing this, yet; although the most recent GFS does place a low feature in the Central Gulf coast area at the end of its run...early next week.
Too much conjecture for anything definitive, but enough chatter to merit paying attention too, IMO.

(Thread title updated to reflect current system status.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Tue Aug 13 2013 07:16 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Wave in Central Carribean (Invest 92L Forecast Lounge) doug Tue Aug 13 2013 11:52 AM
. * * Re: Wave in Central Carribean (Invest 92L Forecast Lounge) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 14 2013 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Central Carribean (Invest 92L Forecast Lounge) berrywr   Wed Aug 14 2013 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Central Carribean (Invest 92L Forecast Lounge) berrywr   Wed Aug 14 2013 02:59 AM
. * * Re: Wave in Central Carribean (Invest 92L Forecast Lounge) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 14 2013 07:16 AM
. * * Invest 92L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Aug 13 2013 06:53 PM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 13 2013 08:03 PM

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