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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 272 (Idalia) , Major: 272 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 272 (Idalia) Major: 272 (Idalia)
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx
TS DON Lounge
      Sun Jul 16 2017 06:34 AM




A trough of low pressure in the tropical Central Atlantic is now being tracked as Invest 95L.

While recent model support has been lukewarm at best, conditions for development are actually starting to appear to be somewhat better than those runs would suggest, and as of the 2AM AST Sat July 16, 2017 TWO, NHC has given this Invest a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within 5 days.

An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance Monday afternoon, if necessary.


As of 5 PM AST on July 17, NHC advisories will begin on Tropical Storm Don, located east of the Windward Islands, and the title has been changed accordingly. - Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Tue Jul 18 2017 04:18 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* TS DON Lounge cieldumort Sun Jul 16 2017 06:34 AM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumort   Mon Jul 17 2017 05:28 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 18 2017 03:56 AM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 18 2017 10:57 AM

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