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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 272 (Idalia) , Major: 272 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 272 (Idalia) Major: 272 (Idalia)
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doug
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Beatriz Remnants in Gulf of Mexico
      Wed May 31 2017 04:36 PM

Euro and GFS have been "arguing" about a low developing in the GOM in the next 7-10 days and up pops TD-2 in EPAC...the future of this is not clear: movement to NE toward Yucatan or meander off shore of southern Mexico for a few days before movement
Perhaps this system is what these two models have been hinting at for a few days...
The season is here!


Title changed to reflect that the remnants of EPAC TWO (Which became a weak TS, 'Beatriz,' before coming onshore in the southern Mexican state of Oaxaca) are now in the southern Gulf of Mexico as of Saturday June, 3 and are interacting with an upper-level trough to its west and north, as well as prohibitively (for tropical cyclone development) high wind shear. Should this feature develop at some point (a non-zero chance, but very low in the near term), it might not keep the same name. - Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Sun Jun 04 2017 06:15 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Beatriz Remnants in Gulf of Mexico doug Wed May 31 2017 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Beatriz Remnants in Bay of Campeche cieldumort   Sat Jun 03 2017 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Beatriz Remnants in Bay of Campeche RedingtonBeachGuy   Sun Jun 04 2017 02:31 AM
. * * Re: Beatriz Remnants in Bay of Campeche cieldumort   Sun Jun 04 2017 02:19 PM
. * * Re: E-PAC TD 2 M.A.   Wed May 31 2017 09:57 PM

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