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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


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Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Ophelia Lounge
      Sat Sep 16 2023 10:03 PM

From the Atlantic Tropical Wx 9/16 discussion:

A weak cold front is forecast to move off the SE U.S. coast early next week with new high pres building down behind it. The front may stall and linger along 27N/28N through mid-week.

It's getting to be the time to watch our front and back yard for home-grown TC. Several model runs have suggested that something may spin up over the Gulf Stream north of the Bahamas, along an old frontal boundary just offshore from east central Florida late next week. A bit early for the NHC to place a yellow patch chance in their 7-day, but if the trend continues, wouldn't be a surprise.


Advisories have begun from this non-tropical area of broad low pressure formed along the front we have been tracking, and the title is updated accordingly.

Ophelia 9/22/23 - Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Fri Sep 22 2023 06:03 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ophelia Lounge IsoFlame Sat Sep 16 2023 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Lounge cieldumort   Fri Sep 22 2023 06:08 PM
. * * Re: SIXTEEN cieldumort   Thu Sep 21 2023 12:08 PM
. * * Re: TC along stalled front next week? Keith B   Sun Sep 17 2023 06:41 AM
. * * Re: TC along stalled front next week? IsoFlame   Sun Sep 17 2023 05:47 PM
. * * Re: TC along stalled front next week? Keith B   Sun Sep 17 2023 08:34 PM

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