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92L now up to a 60% chance for development. Recon out there but just under the threshhold for classification, may become a TD later today.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 296 (Idalia) , Major: 296 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 296 (Idalia) Major: 296 (Idalia)
Rem Alberto
ADV#13 10:00 pm EDT
22.3N 102.0W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
W at 24 mph
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 303
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Lee Lounge
      Fri Sep 01 2023 08:48 AM

While it's way too early to give much credence so far in advance...
Last several runs of the GFS show a Cape Verde origin TC tracking W/WNW at a fairly low latitude across the central Atlantic while becoming a hurricane, strengthening to Major and skirting just north of the Lesser Antilles, tracking WNW/NW through or just east of the Bahamas, maintaining strength on a general approach to be very near Florida's east coast around Sept 12-14th:
GFS 12Z Wed. Sept 13 2023


This model advertised system is now 95L and the title has been updated accordingly.[
Now THIRTEEN 9/5/11AM ET; Lee 5PM - Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Tue Sep 05 2023 05:04 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Lee Lounge IsoFlame Fri Sep 01 2023 08:48 AM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 09 2023 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic cieldumort   Sat Sep 09 2023 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 10 2023 02:11 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 12 2023 07:41 AM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 12 2023 10:54 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic JMII   Fri Sep 15 2023 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic cieldumort   Fri Sep 15 2023 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 13 2023 12:16 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 07 2023 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Sep 07 2023 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge Rick31416   Thu Sep 07 2023 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 07 2023 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 09 2023 06:46 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 06 2023 06:38 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 06 2023 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 07 2023 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge flanewscameraman   Thu Sep 07 2023 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 05:16 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 10:39 AM
. * * TD13 Robert   Tue Sep 05 2023 02:15 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? cieldumort   Mon Sep 04 2023 02:38 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? IsoFlame   Mon Sep 04 2023 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? cieldumort   Mon Sep 04 2023 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? IsoFlame   Tue Sep 05 2023 02:25 PM

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