MikeC
Admin
Reged:
Posts: 4573
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
This post covers areas that aren't well known yet, but are mentioned on models.
Starting off there's an area on 12Z showing a depression or tropical storm making landfall near Jacksonville FL Thursday, area matches the weaker area shown on 0z euro (which is more toward Brunswick, GA)
Only thing likely here is some rain for Extreme Northeast FL and/or Georgia Coasts later this week.
12z euro shows this system closer to the Treasure coast of Florida thursday evening, entering the Gulf and making Landfall is eastern Louisiana friday night.
|
MikeC
Admin
Reged:
Posts: 4573
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
This area is now tagged on the outlook with a 20% chance for development.
|
MikeC
Admin
Reged:
Posts: 4573
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
The general pattern for the longer wave on the outook is the "Caribbean cruiser" system. Meaning it doesn't really recurve at all, and goes right into Central America. This was the pattern suggested by the long range climate models for the long term, so it'll be interesting to see if the 6Z which shows exactly this or not. 0Z Euro and the Canadian GEM model also show it not leaving the Caribbean, but weaker to much weaker than the . If so it's more likely not to get north of the Caribbean than it would. Those in the Leeward islands will want to keep up with this system though, any impacts there probably are around Monday.
|
MikeC
Admin
Reged:
Posts: 4573
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
Atlantic wave (40%) 12Z Euro has a cat 3 hitting cozumel in the long range (July 5th)
|
CFHC
Reged:
Posts: 152
Loc: East Central Florida
|
|
Now is invest 95L
|
MikeC
Admin
Reged:
Posts: 4573
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
After Beryl, not much going on model wise other than the Icon trying to hint at Something off the East Coast of Florida on Friday, but not really shown on any other model.
|
MikeC
Admin
Reged:
Posts: 4573
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
Well And Euro (and ensembles) show it also now after 12Z, just weak and short lived though, heads up toward the SE North Carolina Coastline.
|
Previous
Index
Next
Threaded
Edit
Reply
Quote
