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#Beryl now a Hurricane with 75mph. Now Forecast to be a 120mph Major Hurricane near the Windwards on Monday. Hurricane Warnings now up for Barbados, Watches for other areas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#6 4:00 am EDT
10.4N 51.2W
Wind: 85MPH
Pres: 986mb
Moving:
W at 20 mph
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General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
94L Lounge
      Fri Jun 28 2024 06:06 PM


Above: Invest 94L at 2145z today. Image cr. Weathernerds.org


A convectively active tropical wave we have been watching in the Caribbean this week is now entering an increasingly less hostile region for development from the northwestern Caribbean to likely into the Bay of Campeche in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Sunday.

As conditions look increasingly favorable for development, and given its impressive moisture fetch and potential do drop significant rains over areas that recently had a bunch and do not want or need much more so soon regardless of development, we are now starting a Lounge on this feature.

As of this post, NHC odds are still in the low end at 30%, but this could easily prove conservative.

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* 94L Lounge cieldumort Fri Jun 28 2024 06:06 PM
. * * Re: 94L Lounge Psyber   Fri Jun 28 2024 08:58 PM

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