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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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Gianni
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Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development
      Mon Jul 05 2010 06:23 PM

Since the first named storm of the season did not occur until late in June, and we do not as yet have a second named storm by the end of first week in July, do we have that statistical chance of only 0.8% that there will be 16 or more named storms? I cannot find the historical stats you described here at the start of the season.....

(Post moved to a more appropriate Forum. Check the Resident Meteorologist Discussions Forum. The first week in July is not yet over.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Jul 05 2010 08:09 PM)

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* Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development Gianni Mon Jul 05 2010 06:23 PM

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