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#BERYL HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES From mouth of the Rio Grande northward to Sargent #txwx

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News Talkback >> 2006 Storm Forum

Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)

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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL

Area of Interest - Invest 98L
Fri Sep 01 2006 05:08 PM

Active tropical wave, with a hint of a low level circulation near 11.5N 39W at 01/21Z, moving to the west at about 12 knots. The system is still rather disorganized and is embedded in a narrow strip of light wind shear. Stronger shear to the north of the system is expected to relax over the next couple of days, so the system has some chance for additional slow development. It will be interesting to see what the next wind shear forecast looks like for the Atlantic basin. Movement should be to the west, however although some models currently move the wave to the west northwest, the strong Atlantic ridge may actually move the system a little south of due west.

Also of interest is a large area of Saharan dust that exited the African continent a few days ago (and still is). This dust shield extends westward to about 18N 49W at the moment, so if Invest 98L develops at all, I think that the process will be a slow one. At any rate it seems to be the only significant player on the field at the moment.
ED

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Area of Interest - Invest 98L	Ed Dunham	Fri Sep 01 2006 05:08 PM
Re: Area of Interest - Invest 98L	Ryan	Sat Sep 02 2006 01:33 AM

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