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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Area of Interest: Hurricane Chris in the North Atlantic - Fish Spinner
      Mon Jun 18 2012 04:38 PM

A well defined, non-tropical low, already well northeast of Bermuda, has slowly been acquiring some subtropical and tropical characteristics. This feature has been tagged as Invest 95L.


Invest 95L 06/18/2012 1602UTC

95L is presently located near 37.8N 61.7W and moving north-northeast, but is forecast by models to hook right within the next 24-48 hours or so. On this course, 95L will remain over marginally warm waters for several days, and it is possible the cyclone will become a named storm - but a real fish spinner.

As of 12:30 EDT, today, June 18, 95L has maximum sustained winds estimated at 40 knots (roughly 45MPH). Convection has taken hold right over the LLC, but is still rather shallow, as is typical of hybridized cyclones developing over cooler waters.

NHC currently gives 95L a 30% probability of becoming a named storm within 48 hours.

Edit 4:08PM EDT 06/19/12: 95L Becomes "Chris"
Edit: 10:00 AM EDT 06/21/12: Chris becomes our first official hurricane of 2012

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Interest: Hurricane Chris in the North Atlantic - Fish Spinner cieldumort Mon Jun 18 2012 04:38 PM
. * * Area of Interest: "Hurricane" Chris in North Atlantic - Fish Spinner cieldumort   Thu Jun 21 2012 01:17 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Invest 95L "Chris" - North Atlantic Fish Spinner cieldumort   Tue Jun 19 2012 08:45 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Chris in North Atlantic Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Jun 19 2012 09:55 PM

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