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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 298 (Idalia) , Major: 298 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 298 (Idalia) Major: 298 (Idalia)
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2002 Storm Forum
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Interest - Southern Bahamas
      Sat Sep 07 2002 09:03 AM

Area of convection and general cyclonic curvature near 24N 72W, or just north of the southern Bahamas, has good potential for further development over the next couple of days. Westerly shear just north of the area is forecast to abate (but not totally) by Sunday evening. Area of development expected to remain pretty much stationary over the weekend. Keep an eye out for slow pressure falls in the southern Bahamas.

Postscript: East Atlantic wave near 20W still having some trouble getting organized - even if it does (and it might), it will encounter some increasing westerly shear in a couple of days. Atlantic pattern continues to be disruptive.
Cheers,
ED

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Interest - Southern Bahamas Ed DunhamAdministrator Sat Sep 07 2002 09:03 AM
. * * TD 8 Initialized Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Sep 08 2002 10:26 AM
. * * Re: TD 8 Initialized HanKFranK   Sun Sep 08 2002 08:46 PM
. * * Re: TD 8 Initialized Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Sep 08 2002 11:41 PM

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