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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 298 (Idalia) , Major: 298 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 298 (Idalia) Major: 298 (Idalia)
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2002 Storm Forum
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Lili, Kyle and ?
      Thu Sep 26 2002 11:36 PM

Its late and I'm tired (we all are) so this will be short. Lili is far from dead - currently refiring nicely. Lili maintained a vigorous circulation all day so I was surprised when even the TD status was dropped. I'd expect Lili to soon start a more northwesterly motion and eventually enter the GOM. Kyle - the wildcard! He will weaken for a day or two, but don't think that the shear will be as strong as predicted. Would you believe Kyle hanging out near 25N in five days? - I would. Kyle should eventually reintensify. Isidore could provide quite a reinforcement to the ridge to his northwest when she pulls off to the northeast as a powerful extratropical system. Wave exiting the west African coast looks pretty good - and it has a circulation. Cape Verde season is running late. Give this system about a week (maybe less) and we'll have another Invest to watch. I suspect that Marco will arrive before this season wraps up.
Cheers,
ED

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* Lili, Kyle and ? Ed DunhamAdministrator Thu Sep 26 2002 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Lili, Kyle and ? HanKFranK   Fri Sep 27 2002 12:12 AM

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