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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

MikeC
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Posts: 4560
Loc: Orlando, FL

Isidore Weakens -- Lili Forms
Mon Sep 23 2002 11:41 AM

4:30PM Update

Report from Barbados: Barbados Report
Wind from the ESE (120 degrees) at 47 MPH (41 KT) gusting to 75 MPH (65 KT)

Lili is nearing or at hurricane strength.

Isidore has stopped its southward motion... critical to watch for a northward turn now...

More later.

11:45 AM Update
Tropical Storm Lili has formed according to recon and the nhc... Next advisory will reflect it. Winds 50MPH.

Original Update

Apologies for the short update, but my day job is leaving me little time to analyze.

Isidore has weakened and has lost its main core eye, drifting over the Yucatan. I'm going to differ from most places now and suggest that it will not make the turn north--it may go back over water however. (I have more crow ready if this doesn't happen). However, even with that said, we all still need to watch it. Isidore will do what it wants to. I think this one isn't done with surprises quite yet.

The NHC's track takes it into the open Gulf and strethens it back to hurricane strength. However, not as extreme intensity wise as previous forecast tracks.
What would I go with, even with my own prediction? I wouldn't go with me... go with the NHC... I have more respect for them.

TD#13 looks ok, but moving a bit fast.. As the center is out under from all the convection. I still think we will see lili from it probably in short oder this afternoon (waiting on recon)
Cancun, Mexico Radar

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Multi-model Plots from WREL[/url]

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City Weather Audio Broadcast Network - Live Audio from Jim Williams and Barometer Bob , mpittweather , Tropical Weather Watchers.Com (JasonM) Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Ed Dunham and Jason M in our Storm Forum Even more on the links page.

- [mike@flhurricane.com]

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Isidore Weakens -- Lili Forms	MikeC	Mon Sep 23 2002 11:41 AM
Lili	jlauderdal	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:11 PM
Re: Isidore Weakens -- Lili Forms	meto	Mon Sep 23 2002 07:01 PM
Re:Meto	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 07:08 PM
Re: Isidore Weakens -- Lili Forms	meto	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:27 PM
On the Lighter side	LadyStorm	Mon Sep 23 2002 04:02 PM
My favorite one...	Steve	Mon Sep 23 2002 04:10 PM
Re: My favorite one...	canman32	Mon Sep 23 2002 04:21 PM
Re: My favorite one...	Joe	Mon Sep 23 2002 04:14 PM
Off topic, but...	Kevin	Mon Sep 23 2002 04:27 PM
Re: Off topic, but...	Gofins13	Mon Sep 23 2002 04:58 PM
west	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:01 PM
Its all premature speculation anyway......	Frank P	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:12 PM
Re: Its all premature speculation anyway......	joepub1	Mon Sep 23 2002 06:25 PM
Got Lucky Again!	ShawnS	Mon Sep 23 2002 06:40 PM
All Central Gulf Coasters...	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 07:01 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	Kevin	Mon Sep 23 2002 07:28 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	joepub1	Mon Sep 23 2002 07:50 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	wxman007	Mon Sep 23 2002 07:35 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	mbfly	Mon Sep 23 2002 07:53 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	wxman007	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:00 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	Kevin	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:15 PM
Hey Jason	Frank P	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:29 PM
Re: Hey Jason	wxman007	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:32 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	Joe	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:27 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	troy2	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:26 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:08 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	Justin in Miami	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:06 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:11 PM
Izzy	ShawnS	Mon Sep 23 2002 07:57 PM
Re: Izzy	Frank P	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:10 PM
Re: Izzy	joepub1	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:14 PM
Re: Izzy	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:12 PM
Re: Izzy	wxman007	Mon Sep 23 2002 08:13 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 07:49 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	wxman007	Mon Sep 23 2002 07:52 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	Justin in Miami	Mon Sep 23 2002 07:46 PM
Re: All Central Gulf Coasters...	wxman007	Mon Sep 23 2002 07:51 PM
Re: west	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:05 PM
changes (or lack thereof)	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:31 PM
4pm discussion answers last few questions...	Steve	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:15 PM
Re: 4pm discussion answers last few questions...	clyde w.	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:17 PM
Re: 4pm discussion answers last few questions...	Frank P	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:34 PM
Re: 4pm discussion answers last few questions...	Kevin	Mon Sep 23 2002 06:01 PM
Re: 4pm discussion answers last few questions...	Floridacane	Mon Sep 23 2002 06:05 PM
Re: 4pm discussion answers last few questions...	Kevin	Mon Sep 23 2002 06:21 PM
Absolutely...	Steve	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:25 PM
Re: Absolutely...	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:33 PM
the fun begins tonight....	Rick in Mobile	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:59 PM
It's comin' for >>YOU<< Rick!	Steve	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:38 PM
Step 1 - Coastal Flood Watches are out now for LA/MS...	Steve	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:32 PM
Re: Absolutely...	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:29 PM
Re: west	caneman	Mon Sep 23 2002 05:13 PM
2 STORMS	WXMAN RICHIE	Mon Sep 23 2002 04:55 PM
Agree 100% Kevin	SirCane	Mon Sep 23 2002 03:32 PM
too much for the models?	Rasvar	Mon Sep 23 2002 02:04 PM
Re: Isidore Weakens -- Lili Forms	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 01:20 PM
Re: S or west Cuba	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 01:35 PM
Re: S or west Cuba	clyde w.	Mon Sep 23 2002 01:42 PM
Re: S or west Cuba	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 02:37 PM
Re: S or west Cuba	Mike	Mon Sep 23 2002 02:56 PM
Lily and Izzy	Kevin	Mon Sep 23 2002 03:24 PM
Isidore, moving slightly	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 03:33 PM
Respectfully disagree	Frank P	Mon Sep 23 2002 03:57 PM
starting to move?	rick in mobile	Mon Sep 23 2002 04:01 PM
Re: starting to move?	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 04:08 PM
Pressures	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 04:17 PM
Lilly?	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 03:09 PM
Re: Isidore Weakens -- Lili Forms	Mike	Mon Sep 23 2002 11:55 AM
mmmkay	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 23 2002 12:02 PM
For the record...	Steve	Mon Sep 23 2002 12:43 PM
Re: For the record...	Rasvar	Mon Sep 23 2002 01:07 PM
Re: For the record...	Carl	Mon Sep 23 2002 01:40 PM
Re: For the record...	caneman	Mon Sep 23 2002 02:04 PM
add another mark	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 23 2002 02:34 PM
Re: add another mark	Skeeter	Mon Sep 23 2002 03:35 PM
Re: For the record...	Frank P	Mon Sep 23 2002 02:21 PM
Re: For the record...	Frank P	Mon Sep 23 2002 01:38 PM
Re: For the record...	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 12:51 PM
Future Threat From Lili? Any thoughts?	Justin in Miami	Mon Sep 23 2002 12:49 PM
Re: Future Threat From Lili? Any thoughts?	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 12:59 PM
Re: Future Threat From Lili? Any thoughts?	Justin in Miami	Mon Sep 23 2002 01:05 PM
Re: Future Threat From Lili? Any thoughts?	Anonymous	Mon Sep 23 2002 04:58 PM
Re: Isidore Weakens -- Lili Forms	Frank P	Mon Sep 23 2002 11:55 AM

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