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92L now up to a 60% chance for development. Recon out there but just under the threshhold for classification, may become a TD later today.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 296 (Idalia) , Major: 296 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 296 (Idalia) Major: 296 (Idalia)
22.3N 102.0W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
W at 24 mph
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

CFHCAdministrator



Reged:
Posts: 149
Loc: East Central Florida
2 Weeks
      Sun May 19 2002 10:10 AM

Two weeks to go and the "wave-mongering" has already started (And I love it!). You know it's close to hurricane season now. The Gulf of Mexico, although a few models have suggested something occuring, is probably not going to have something tropical in there.

If it were to happen anytime this year, that would be the place to look, but upper winds aren't going to allow anything of significance to get going down there. Along with many of the negative factors, we'll have to keep looking elsewhere. It isn't impossible, but I just don't see it this time.

I will be gone (LA and NY) for a week and a half, back just in time for Hurricane Season to start. When the season starts, I'll give my own amateur outlook for this year's season.

I'll be watching the tropics as always.

Don't take my word for it...

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET


Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Triopical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Even more on the links page.

- [mac]

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* 2 Weeks CFHCAdministrator Sun May 19 2002 10:10 AM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks BabyCat   Thu May 23 2002 12:18 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Colleen A.   Thu May 23 2002 01:02 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks BabyCat   Thu May 23 2002 02:32 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Anonymous   Thu May 23 2002 01:13 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Steve   Thu May 23 2002 03:42 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks CaneMan   Thu May 23 2002 03:44 PM
. * * NRL Link Colleen A.   Thu May 23 2002 03:59 PM
. * * Re: NRL Link Colleen A.   Thu May 23 2002 04:06 PM
. * * Re: NRL Link CaneMan   Thu May 23 2002 04:07 PM
. * * Re: NRL Link ShawnS   Thu May 23 2002 04:04 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Steve   Thu May 23 2002 03:42 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks ShawnS   Thu May 23 2002 02:54 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks ShawnS   Thu May 23 2002 02:57 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks scottsvb   Thu May 23 2002 03:15 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Mark   Wed May 22 2002 04:53 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Anonymous   Wed May 22 2002 05:13 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks ShawnS   Wed May 22 2002 05:19 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks *DELETED* Anonymous   Wed May 22 2002 06:06 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks *DELETED* Rad   Wed May 22 2002 07:19 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Rad   Wed May 22 2002 06:11 PM
. * * Hard Wind Anonymous   Wed May 22 2002 08:03 AM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Joe   Tue May 21 2002 03:42 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Anonymous   Tue May 21 2002 02:02 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks CaneMan   Tue May 21 2002 01:59 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Anonymous   Tue May 21 2002 04:05 PM
. * * Interesting Cuba convection. Kevin   Tue May 21 2002 05:14 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks ShawnS   Tue May 21 2002 04:03 PM
. * * The Link to NOAA Cocoa Beach Dave   Tue May 21 2002 09:27 AM
. * * NOAA Press Release Cocoa Beach Dave   Tue May 21 2002 09:25 AM
. * * a bit more Anonymous   Tue May 21 2002 02:03 AM
. * * Re: a bit more ShawnS   Tue May 21 2002 08:28 AM
. * * Re: a bit more Colleen A.   Tue May 21 2002 11:26 AM
. * * Re: a bit more nickd   Tue May 21 2002 11:32 AM
. * * Re: a bit more Franky P   Tue May 21 2002 01:25 PM
. * * Re: a bit more jth   Tue May 21 2002 02:22 PM
. * * Re: a bit more Frank P   Tue May 21 2002 01:33 PM
. * * Re: a bit more ShawnS   Tue May 21 2002 11:47 AM
. * * Question Colleen A.   Tue May 21 2002 11:57 AM
. * * Re: Question John C   Tue May 21 2002 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Question Colleen A.   Tue May 21 2002 06:38 PM
. * * Re: Question John C   Tue May 21 2002 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Question Rad   Tue May 21 2002 08:09 PM
. * * Colleen... Steve   Tue May 21 2002 10:00 PM
. * * Just for fun... Steve   Tue May 21 2002 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Anonymous   Wed May 22 2002 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Rad   Wed May 22 2002 08:57 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Steve   Wed May 22 2002 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... CaneMan   Wed May 22 2002 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Rad   Wed May 22 2002 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Anonymous   Wed May 22 2002 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Rad   Wed May 22 2002 11:30 PM
. * * east option Anonymous   Thu May 23 2002 01:37 AM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Rad   Wed May 22 2002 10:58 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Rad   Wed May 22 2002 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Caneman   Wed May 22 2002 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Rad   Wed May 22 2002 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Steve   Wed May 22 2002 10:28 PM
. * * Re: MODELS HURRICANELONNY   Thu May 23 2002 08:18 AM
. * * Hey Rad! Frank P   Thu May 23 2002 09:53 AM
. * * Re: Hey Rad! Rad   Thu May 23 2002 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Hey Rad! Rad   Thu May 23 2002 08:23 PM
. * * Re: Hey Rad! Rad   Thu May 23 2002 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Hey Rad! ShawnS   Thu May 23 2002 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Hey Rad! CaneMAn   Thu May 23 2002 10:03 AM
. * * Shawn/Caneman Frank P   Thu May 23 2002 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Shawn/Caneman ShawnS   Thu May 23 2002 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Shawn/Caneman ShawnS   Thu May 23 2002 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Shawn/Caneman ShawnS   Thu May 23 2002 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Joe B. Rasvar   Thu May 23 2002 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Joe B. Anonymous   Thu May 23 2002 11:49 AM
. * * some clarity Anonymous   Thu May 23 2002 12:14 PM
. * * Re: some clarity RBL   Thu May 23 2002 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Joe B. ShawnS   Thu May 23 2002 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Hey Rad! ShawnS   Thu May 23 2002 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Hey Rad! GaryC   Thu May 23 2002 10:34 AM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Anonymous   Wed May 22 2002 08:53 PM
. * * NCEP 2:36 pm 5/22/02 inpart garyb   Wed May 22 2002 03:55 PM
. * * Re: NCEP 2:36 pm 5/22/02 inpart cyclone jones   Wed May 22 2002 07:25 PM
. * * Re: NCEP 2:36 pm 5/22/02 inpart Rad   Wed May 22 2002 07:40 PM
. * * Here I go again garyb   Wed May 22 2002 10:23 AM
. * * Something intersting: Kevin   Wed May 22 2002 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... *DELETED* *DELETED* *DELETED* Rad   Tue May 21 2002 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Just for fun... Rad   Tue May 21 2002 11:28 PM
. * * I voted no... Steve   Wed May 22 2002 12:07 AM
. * * Re: I voted no... Steve   Wed May 22 2002 12:10 AM
. * * Re: I voted no... Colleen A.   Wed May 22 2002 09:21 AM
. * * Re: I voted no... Rad   Wed May 22 2002 06:05 PM
. * * I voted for BUSH ! Rad   Wed May 22 2002 12:18 AM
. * * possibles Anonymous   Wed May 22 2002 01:26 AM
. * * Re: a bit more Colleen A.   Tue May 21 2002 11:47 AM
. * * Re: a bit more Anonymous   Tue May 21 2002 05:14 PM
. * * Re: a bit more Colleen A.   Tue May 21 2002 06:41 PM
. * * Re: a bit more Anonymous   Tue May 21 2002 07:04 PM
. * * Re: a bit more gary   Tue May 21 2002 03:45 PM
. * * Thanks, All! Colleen A.   Tue May 21 2002 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Thanks, All! Gary   Tue May 21 2002 04:41 PM
. * * Your Password Colleen A.   Tue May 21 2002 05:12 PM
. * * Jason Kelly Frank P   Tue May 21 2002 04:51 PM
. * * mongertime Anonymous   Tue May 21 2002 01:23 AM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Anonymous   Mon May 20 2002 05:31 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks ShawnS   Mon May 20 2002 07:20 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Rad   Mon May 20 2002 07:31 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks HURRICANELONNY   Mon May 20 2002 03:44 PM
. * * Noaa 2002 Hurricane Forecast thoughts. Kevin   Mon May 20 2002 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Noaa 2002 Hurricane Forecast thoughts. ShawnS   Mon May 20 2002 08:54 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Anonymous   Sun May 19 2002 11:54 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Doug Tampa   Mon May 20 2002 12:18 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Anonymous   Mon May 20 2002 12:58 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Anonymous   Mon May 20 2002 02:13 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Anonymous   Sun May 19 2002 07:25 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Kevin   Sun May 19 2002 08:25 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks ShawnS   Sun May 19 2002 08:01 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Kevin   Sun May 19 2002 10:51 AM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Anonymous   Sun May 19 2002 02:14 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Kevin   Sun May 19 2002 02:20 PM
. * * Re: 2 Weeks Rad   Sun May 19 2002 10:32 AM

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