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The broad Gulf area is now up to 70/70% for development while the Atlantic area is 10/30% for development. Neither are marked as an invest area yet, but the Gulf may be tagged later today. Texas should watch the Gulf area for a large rain event. Atlantic is FL through the Carolinas depending on how soon (if at all) the system develops, sooner implies further north.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)

Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL

TD #6 Becomes Tropical Storm Frances
Wed Aug 25 2004 03:19 AM

Wednesday - 5PM Update
As expected TD #6 has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Frances at 5pm. Frances continues to move to the west at 14kts with sustained winds of 35 knots and pressure now down to 1005mb. NHC still anticipates a more west northwest track and eventually a northwest track - and still cautions that the tropical storm could take a more southerly track with west northwest rather than northwest motion in a day or two. Gradual intensification is anticipated.
ED

Original Article
The strong tropical wave that departed the west coast of Africa a few days ago has developed into TD #6 this evening. The Tropical Depression is located well southwest of the Cape Verde Islands and is moving to the west at 15 to 20 knots. Maximum sustained wind is 25 knots and pressure is 1009mb.

TD #6 should move on a west northwesterly course over the next couple of days while slowly growing in intensity. The tropical cyclone should become Tropical Storm Frances on Wednesday. The long range NHC forecast takes the storm on a more northwesterly course, however there is still some doubt about this motion since the mid Atlantic trough will not create a significant weakness in the mid Atlantic ridge located south of the trough. The forward motion is on the increase, but it should be slower than the forward motion that was noted with some of the tropical waves earlier this season

Plenty of time to watch this system evolve - and we will.
ED

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Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,
Even more on the links page.

Edited by LI Phil (Thu Aug 26 2004 01:42 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
TD #6 Becomes Tropical Storm Frances	Ed Dunham	Wed Aug 25 2004 03:19 AM
Re: Tropical Strom Frances	tornado00	Thu Aug 26 2004 06:52 PM
Re: Tropical Strom Frances	Keith234	Thu Aug 26 2004 06:57 PM
Re: Tropical Strom Frances	tornado00	Thu Aug 26 2004 07:17 PM
Tropical Storm Frances seems to be getting organized	Cocoa Beach	Thu Aug 26 2004 03:01 PM
thoughts on 11am discussion	bobbi	Thu Aug 26 2004 03:11 PM
Frontal Boundary	zacros	Thu Aug 26 2004 03:33 PM
Re: Frontal Boundary	Keith234	Thu Aug 26 2004 04:57 PM
Re: Frontal Boundary	LI Phil	Thu Aug 26 2004 05:22 PM
Re: Frontal Boundary	Keith234	Thu Aug 26 2004 06:33 PM
Re: Frontal Boundary	Ed in Va	Thu Aug 26 2004 06:51 PM
Hurricane Frances	James88	Thu Aug 26 2004 06:53 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances	WeatherNLU	Thu Aug 26 2004 07:48 PM
20/60 line	bobbi	Thu Aug 26 2004 07:59 PM
Re: 20/60 line	Ed in Va	Thu Aug 26 2004 08:04 PM
Re: 20/60 line	Clark	Thu Aug 26 2004 08:26 PM
Re: 20/60 line	rmbjoe1954	Thu Aug 26 2004 08:08 PM
Information on models	LI Phil	Thu Aug 26 2004 08:40 PM
Re: Information on models	rmbjoe1954	Thu Aug 26 2004 08:51 PM
Re: 20/60 line	Keith234	Thu Aug 26 2004 08:27 PM
Re: HURRICANE FRANCES	LONNY307	Thu Aug 26 2004 08:38 PM
Hurricane frances	Bruce	Thu Aug 26 2004 08:37 PM
Re: 20/60 line	Ed in Va	Thu Aug 26 2004 08:22 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances	rmbjoe1954	Thu Aug 26 2004 07:53 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances	Storm Cooper	Thu Aug 26 2004 07:12 PM
talk about stair step motion movement...	bobbi	Thu Aug 26 2004 07:17 PM
Re: talk about stair step motion movement...	Keith234	Thu Aug 26 2004 07:21 PM
Re: talk about stair step motion movement...	WeatherNLU	Thu Aug 26 2004 07:44 PM
no... dont think so	bobbi	Thu Aug 26 2004 07:58 PM
Re: talk about stair step motion movement...	SirCane	Thu Aug 26 2004 07:37 PM
Re: Frontal Boundary	Todd	Thu Aug 26 2004 05:40 PM
Re: Frontal Boundary	zacros	Thu Aug 26 2004 08:57 PM
Re: Frontal Boundary	DMFischer	Thu Aug 26 2004 09:22 PM
Frances	rmbjoe1954	Thu Aug 26 2004 09:55 PM
NEW THREAD	LI Phil	Thu Aug 26 2004 09:57 PM
cat 5 possibilities with this one.....	rickonboat	Thu Aug 26 2004 09:29 PM
Re: cat 5 possibilities with this one.....	Steve hirschb.	Thu Aug 26 2004 09:43 PM
Carolinas system	Rabbit	Thu Aug 26 2004 09:56 PM
Charlotte Radar	LI Phil	Thu Aug 26 2004 09:38 PM
Um..	LI Phil	Thu Aug 26 2004 09:09 PM
Re: Um..	Keith234	Thu Aug 26 2004 09:24 PM
Re: Um..	redbird	Sun Aug 29 2004 09:42 PM
Re: Um..	ticka1	Thu Aug 26 2004 09:18 PM
Re: Frontal Boundary	LI Phil	Thu Aug 26 2004 06:05 PM
Re: Frontal Boundary	Ed in Va	Thu Aug 26 2004 03:37 PM
11pm	Clark	Thu Aug 26 2004 02:31 AM
Re: 11pm	WeatherNLU	Thu Aug 26 2004 04:35 AM
Re: 11pm	Matt033	Thu Aug 26 2004 05:21 AM
good post Matt	LoisCane	Thu Aug 26 2004 12:57 PM
Re: good post Matt	Hurric	Thu Aug 26 2004 01:34 PM
Re: good post Matt	Ed in Va	Thu Aug 26 2004 01:59 PM
Re: good post Matt	Larry	Thu Aug 26 2004 02:24 PM
Re: good post Matt	Keith234	Thu Aug 26 2004 02:31 PM
Re: good post Matt	scottsvb	Thu Aug 26 2004 02:37 PM
Frances still a TS at 11:00	LI Phil	Thu Aug 26 2004 02:46 PM
Re: Frances still a TS at 11:00	Clark	Thu Aug 26 2004 04:01 PM
Some dry air ahead...	LI Phil	Thu Aug 26 2004 04:26 PM
for Phil especially and others	bobbi	Thu Aug 26 2004 06:15 PM
Re: Some dry air ahead...	Keith234	Thu Aug 26 2004 04:44 PM
Re: Frances still a TS at 11:00	EriktheFled	Thu Aug 26 2004 04:25 PM
Re: good post Matt	Keith234	Thu Aug 26 2004 02:44 PM
Re: good post Matt	Hardcore	Thu Aug 26 2004 02:28 PM
Re: good post Matt	bobbi	Thu Aug 26 2004 01:58 PM
Re: 11pm	James88	Thu Aug 26 2004 07:26 AM
Interesting	WXMAN RICHIE	Thu Aug 26 2004 09:23 AM
Re: Interesting	Keith234	Thu Aug 26 2004 12:18 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	rcs_satbch	Wed Aug 25 2004 10:28 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	Rabbit	Wed Aug 25 2004 11:43 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	Keith234	Wed Aug 25 2004 11:57 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	LI Phil	Thu Aug 26 2004 01:53 AM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	Anon	Thu Aug 26 2004 01:22 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	Keith234	Thu Aug 26 2004 02:27 AM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	LoisCane	Thu Aug 26 2004 02:09 AM
frances issues, etc	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 26 2004 02:51 AM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	Keith234	Wed Aug 25 2004 11:40 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	Hurric	Wed Aug 25 2004 10:53 AM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	Anonymous	Wed Aug 25 2004 12:03 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	bobbi	Wed Aug 25 2004 12:32 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	Keith234	Wed Aug 25 2004 12:46 PM
Not that impressive at the moment	Frank P	Wed Aug 25 2004 01:37 PM
Re: Not that impressive at the moment	Cycloneye	Wed Aug 25 2004 01:45 PM
Re: Not that impressive at the moment	joepub1	Wed Aug 25 2004 02:22 PM
JoePub!	LI Phil	Wed Aug 25 2004 02:29 PM
Re: JoePub!	Anonymous	Wed Aug 25 2004 02:38 PM
Frances at 11:00?	LI Phil	Wed Aug 25 2004 02:20 PM
Re: Frances at 11:00?	joepub1	Wed Aug 25 2004 02:37 PM
Re: Frances at 11:00?	Anonymous	Wed Aug 25 2004 02:38 PM
Re: Frances at 11:00?	Anonymous	Wed Aug 25 2004 02:39 PM
Re: Frances at 11:00?	joepub1	Wed Aug 25 2004 02:44 PM
Re: Frances at 11:00?	Fred	Wed Aug 25 2004 05:59 PM
Re: Frances at 11:00?	Anonymous	Wed Aug 25 2004 02:50 PM
Re: Frances at 11:00?	Anonymous	Wed Aug 25 2004 02:53 PM
Re: Frances at 11:00?	caneman	Wed Aug 25 2004 03:37 PM
Spin off Fla	LI Phil	Wed Aug 25 2004 03:49 PM
Re: Spin off Fla	rcs_satbch	Wed Aug 25 2004 10:22 PM
Re: Spin off Fla	Hurric	Wed Aug 25 2004 05:39 PM
Re: Spin off Fla	alan	Wed Aug 25 2004 06:05 PM
Re: Spin off Fla	Anonymous	Wed Aug 25 2004 06:39 PM
Re: Spin off Fla	ticka1	Wed Aug 25 2004 06:41 PM
Re: Spin off Fla	Steve	Wed Aug 25 2004 07:15 PM
Frances at 5pm no doubt about it	Hardcore	Wed Aug 25 2004 07:32 PM
Re: Frances at 5pm no doubt about it	Anonymous	Wed Aug 25 2004 08:23 PM
Re: Frances at 5pm no doubt about it	matt0033	Wed Aug 25 2004 09:11 PM
More left each run	LoisCane	Wed Aug 25 2004 10:17 PM
ominous words in that discussion	LoisCane	Wed Aug 25 2004 10:21 PM
Re: Frances at 5pm no doubt about it DELETED	Anonymous	Wed Aug 25 2004 09:01 PM
Re: Frances at 5pm no doubt about it	LONNY307	Wed Aug 25 2004 09:13 PM
TWO THINGS	LI Phil	Wed Aug 25 2004 09:09 PM
Re: TWO THINGS	caneman	Wed Aug 25 2004 09:14 PM
Re: TWO THINGS	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 25 2004 09:50 PM
Re: TWO THINGS	caneman	Thu Aug 26 2004 09:36 AM
Re: TWO THINGS	Steve hirschb.	Wed Aug 25 2004 09:47 PM
Re: Frances at 5pm no doubt about it	Anonymous	Wed Aug 25 2004 08:34 PM
Re: Frances	LONNY307	Wed Aug 25 2004 08:54 PM
JB Midday	LI Phil	Wed Aug 25 2004 07:29 PM
None of the Bouys are reporting Data	Cocoa Beach	Wed Aug 25 2004 04:36 PM
Re: None of the Bouys are reporting Data	troy	Wed Aug 25 2004 04:50 PM
TD6	Rabbit	Wed Aug 25 2004 04:11 PM
TD6?	rmbjoe1954	Wed Aug 25 2004 04:19 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	1234	Wed Aug 25 2004 05:00 AM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	Rabbit	Wed Aug 25 2004 08:00 AM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms in Eastern Atlantic	LadyStorm	Wed Aug 25 2004 09:37 AM

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