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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks
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danielwAdministrator
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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Monday Morning
      Mon Jun 27 2005 07:32 AM

Checking the NWS office's Area Forecast Discussions, from Lake Charles,LA to Jacksonville,FL.
Several mention the GFS model forecasting a "low" to develop in the GOM-Gulf of Mexico.
All of the Northern and Eastern Gulf Coast NWS AFDs are tossing the GFS solution out at this time.

However. The NWS Offices from Mobile to Tampa, and across FL to Melbourne are mentioning a very rainy forecast. With at least two of the offices mentioning the possibility of having to issue urban/ small stream flood advisories due to heavy amounts of rain falling in a short period of time, and falling on saturated ground.

The cloud patterns in the GOM are related to interaction between a tropical wave and low pressure trough.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2005
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WEAKENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF SALISBURY MARYLAND IS MOVING NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM OR ELSEWHERE THROUGH TUESDAY.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Monday Morning danielwAdministrator Mon Jun 27 2005 07:32 AM
. * * Re: Hybrid system MapMaster   Mon Jun 27 2005 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Hybrid system Mapmaster   Mon Jun 27 2005 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Monday Morning GuppieGrouper   Mon Jun 27 2005 08:14 AM
. * * GOM Weather danielwAdministrator   Mon Jun 27 2005 08:22 AM
. * * Re: GOM Weather teal61@work   Mon Jun 27 2005 10:53 AM
. * * Re: GOM Weather doug   Mon Jun 27 2005 11:24 AM
. * * gulf & E of islands HanKFranK   Mon Jun 27 2005 11:14 AM
. * * Re: gulf & E of islands Steve hirschb.   Mon Jun 27 2005 05:42 PM
. * * Re: gulf & E of islands dem05   Mon Jun 27 2005 07:04 PM
. * * Re: gulf & E of islands Storm Cooper   Mon Jun 27 2005 07:20 PM
. * * Re: gulf & E of islands dem05   Mon Jun 27 2005 07:54 PM
. * * Re: gulf & E of islands doug   Mon Jun 27 2005 11:40 AM
. * * Re: gulf & E of islands h2ocean   Mon Jun 27 2005 12:55 PM
. * * BOC MapMaster   Mon Jun 27 2005 02:14 PM
. * * Re: BOC hurricanejk   Mon Jun 27 2005 02:51 PM
. * * Re: BOC doug   Mon Jun 27 2005 02:44 PM

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