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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4545
Loc: Orlando, FL
Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel
      Mon Jul 18 2005 03:09 AM

Midnight
Recon reports pressure leveling off, perhaps starting to go back down. Winds are back up, max flightlevel was around 162Mph, which would put estimated surface winds around 145MPH.

Cozumel is in bad shape, Emily is on the upswing again. God bless all the folks there. Hopefully the pressure will correct the windspeed some and it will drop.

Original Update
Emily is about to make landfall near Cozumel, Mexico in the Yucatan Peninsula. It has weakened a bit due to a weak upper level low pressure system in the Bay of Campeche, but it is holding at Category 4. The eye of emily is fluctuating wildly, right now, and for lack of a better term, fighting to hold itself together.

Southern Cozumel and areas just north of it will feel the brunt of the system, it will move over the Yucatan quite quickly and should weaken some, but remain a hurricane when it reenters the gulf near Mereda. At that time it has the chance to restrengthen again, and conditions will be favorible for it to do so.

The second landfall point is still most likely in Mexico, but southern texas will likely be under a hurricane watch as well tomorrow. And folks along there will need to prepare. There is a chance this could near brownsville, TX.



Jim Williams over at hurricane city is doing a landfall show tonight Listen Here


Event Related Links

StormCarib hurricane reports from observers in the Islands
Cozumel/Cancun StormCarib reports

Caribbean Island Weather Reports
Color Sat of Gulf (Animated)
RAMSDIS high speed visible Floater of Storms

Emily

Flhurricane mirror of cancun radar - Cancun Radar Loop Cancun, MX radar (Overloaded please use mirrors) -
Tampico, MX radar
Visible/IR Floater of Emily with storm track Overlays
Animated Model Plot of Emily
Model Plot Graphic from the South Florida Water Management District of Emily
Emily Spaghetti Model from boatus
Weather Underground Model Plots for Emily
QuikScat Image of Emily

Dennis and emily plotted on a google map

Webcams, Video, Audio
Jim Edds/weathervine chasing hurricane Emily in Cancun
Cancun Webcams
Cozumel Webcams
Hurricane City's audio feed, show starts at 11PM EDT
Radio NHCWX


Area east of Emily (99L)
Animated Model Plot of Area East of Emily 99L
Model Plot of Area East of Emily 99L (Graphic from the South Florida Water Management District)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel MikeCAdministrator Mon Jul 18 2005 03:09 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel superfly   Mon Jul 18 2005 03:51 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 03:53 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Clark   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:11 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel superfly   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:10 AM
. * * Wind Speed danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:19 AM
. * * RECON Vortex danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:09 AM
. * * Re: RECON Vortex Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:22 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 03:45 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel nl   Mon Jul 18 2005 03:47 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 03:49 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:27 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel superfly   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:29 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 05:07 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel superfly   Mon Jul 18 2005 05:24 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 05:31 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:13 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:26 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel ShanaTX   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:43 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel superfly   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:29 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:39 AM
. * * Check this out Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:44 AM
. * * emily beyond the yucatan, 99L HanKFranK   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:59 AM
. * * Re: emily beyond the yucatan, 99L danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 07:13 AM
. * * Re: emily beyond the yucatan, 99L Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 07:18 AM
. * * Data danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 07:49 AM

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