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The broad Gulf area is now up to 70/70% for development while the Atlantic area is 10/30% for development. Neither are marked as an invest area yet, but the Gulf may be tagged later today. Texas should watch the Gulf area for a large rain event. Atlantic is FL through the Carolinas depending on how soon (if at all) the system develops, sooner implies further north.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

MikeC
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Posts: 4551
Loc: Orlando, FL

Quiet, for Now, in Late August
Sat Aug 25 2007 12:31 PM

Additions - Sunday 11AM
Other areas noted this morning include a couple of small and marginally active tropical waves near 13N 35W and 10N 42W. Also a couple of active waves near 12N 76W and 21N 96.7W. The wave at 12N 76W, northwest of the Columbian shore has a small chance for some additional development over the next couple of days. The wave in the Bay of Campeche does have a weak circulation and it has been almost stationary for the past 6 hours - but it is also very close to the Mexican coast. Otherwise it remains uncommonly quiet in the basin - but thats a 'positive' at this time of year.
ED

Original Post
There are no disturbances ready to develop into something right now, so, thankfully, this is a quiet weekend and at least first part of the week coming up.

The only long shots are a wave around 48 west which is still too far south, and not really active enough to have a shot to develop anytime soon. That area has persisted for a while, however, but it has shear around it and the circulation is very weak.

Beyond that is a few model projections which may be hinting at something in the East Atlantic coming off Africa in 3 or 4 days time. If they are phantom waves or not, remains to be seen.

In short, looks like to be a quiet first part of the week coming up.

{{StormLinks|94L|94|6|2007|1|94L (East Atlantic Wave))}}

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Quiet, for Now, in Late August	MikeC	Sat Aug 25 2007 12:31 PM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August	cieldumort	Tue Aug 28 2007 08:11 PM
Re: Invest 94L	Storm Hunter	Tue Aug 28 2007 07:45 PM
Re: Invest 94L	Ed in Va	Tue Aug 28 2007 06:43 PM
Re: Invest 94L	Storm Surfer	Tue Aug 28 2007 06:38 PM
Re: Invest 94L	Storm Hunter	Tue Aug 28 2007 06:01 PM
Invest 94L	cchsweatherman	Tue Aug 28 2007 01:35 PM
Re: wave/else	doug	Tue Aug 28 2007 01:27 PM
Re: wave/else	stormchazer	Tue Aug 28 2007 12:59 PM
wave/else	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 27 2007 10:35 PM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August	weatherguy08	Mon Aug 27 2007 04:44 PM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August	Ed in Va	Mon Aug 27 2007 03:33 PM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August	GuppieGrouper	Mon Aug 27 2007 12:07 PM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 27 2007 05:23 AM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August	danielw	Mon Aug 27 2007 02:02 AM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August	Hugh	Sun Aug 26 2007 08:05 PM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August	allan	Sun Aug 26 2007 06:31 PM
Re: Quiet ?	danielw	Sun Aug 26 2007 06:12 PM
Re: Quiet ?	Hugh	Sun Aug 26 2007 05:56 PM
Quiet ?	danielw	Sun Aug 26 2007 05:41 PM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Sun Aug 26 2007 05:20 PM
Re: nothing doing	Old Sailor	Sun Aug 26 2007 04:57 PM
Re: nothing doing	cieldumort	Sun Aug 26 2007 07:15 AM
nothing doing	HanKFranK	Sat Aug 25 2007 11:28 PM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August	GlenJohnson	Sat Aug 25 2007 07:13 PM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August	dem05	Sat Aug 25 2007 05:51 PM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August	cieldumort	Sat Aug 25 2007 04:29 PM

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