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Low Chance (10%) area being watched near of the Turks and Caicos islands heading away from land. Unlikely to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 267 (Idalia) , Major: 267 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 267 (Idalia) Major: 267 (Idalia)
 


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Robert
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Loc: Southeast, FL
Yucatan Wave
      #100027 - Wed Aug 21 2019 03:13 AM Attachment (623 downloads)

A tropical wave/low is moving across the Belize, and southern Yucatan peninsula, it looks to move across the southern bay of Campeche tomorrow, before moving back into eastern Mexico, look for a blow up of convection tomorrow afternoon down there. attached, is IR image from the pacific, also a depression forming there.

Edited by Robert (Wed Aug 21 2019 03:15 AM)


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Robert
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 364
Loc: Southeast, FL
Re: Yucatan Wave [Re: Robert]
      #100028 - Wed Aug 21 2019 03:14 AM Attachment (618 downloads)

Water vapor image of the mid Low, seems land helped tighten it a bit.

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Robert
Weather Analyst


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Loc: Southeast, FL
Re: Yucatan Wave [Re: Robert]
      #100032 - Wed Aug 21 2019 10:20 PM Attachment (607 downloads)

Water Vapor attached of the mid low in the bay of Campeche, now fully over water and beginning to fire some thunder storms around the center, the wave right behind it firing a huge blow of convection this afternoon. It appears to be heading NW into the trough over Texas, and its slowing down now, so there may be more of a chance to wrap in the wave, and build more thunder storms around the center, and amplify as moves in inland before being absorbed by the trough later this week.

Edited by Robert (Wed Aug 21 2019 10:22 PM)


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Robert
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 364
Loc: Southeast, FL
Re: Yucatan Wave [Re: Robert]
      #100033 - Wed Aug 21 2019 11:39 PM Attachment (632 downloads)

last light

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Robert
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 364
Loc: Southeast, FL
Re: Yucatan Wave [Re: Robert]
      #100036 - Thu Aug 22 2019 03:16 PM Attachment (609 downloads)

Trough now fully over open water, and better convection firing around the center.

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Robert
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 364
Loc: Southeast, FL
Re: Yucatan Wave [Re: Robert]
      #100038 - Thu Aug 22 2019 03:21 PM Attachment (614 downloads)

check out the awesome shadows made by the sun in the ice satellite photo from the gulf this morning attached.

Edited by Robert (Thu Aug 22 2019 03:22 PM)


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Robert
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 364
Loc: Southeast, FL
Re: Yucatan Wave [Re: Robert]
      #100041 - Thu Aug 22 2019 10:09 PM Attachment (610 downloads)

Some more convection this afternoon, still disorganized.

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