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Invest 95L near 100% chance to develop, advisories likely to come later today. Hurricane and/or Tropical Storm Watches are possible later tonight for parts of the Windward islands of the Caribbean. Area east of that 30% chance. 94L 30% chance.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)
Td#2
ADV#1 10:00 pm EDT
9.1N 41.9W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
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laureg
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Posts: 22
Loc: Port St. Lucie, FL
4 AM EST Advisory...oops
      Sat Nov 19 2005 10:27 AM

I've decided I'm only gonna listen to Hugh as long as he keeps talking like this...regardless of the earliness in the day of the thinking...

From a strictly newbie/novice/clueless wonder standpoint, is it not safe to say after this storm season that the experts have been very, very good at pinpointing the track, but are way lacking in the intensity forecast? Warm water or cold, doesn't seem to make a difference in the intensity like was previously thought.

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* 4 AM EST Advisory...oops laureg Sat Nov 19 2005 10:27 AM

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