saluki
(Weather Hobbyist)
Fri Sep 14 2007 12:51 AM
Re: TD#8 in central Atlantic

Quote:

The 7 news station here in Miami said that the shear is going to cause the storm to go to a TS and then downgrade to a depression. I am not sure here, but there are some models that predict this storm as a slow moving storm and predict that it is going to reach Cat 2 here in Miami. Is this the case?




Ingrid is projected by the NHC to be five days away from being in the vicinity of the Leewards, which means it would be another 4-5 days away from Miami. The models are notoriously inaccurate that far out. In the meantime, Ingrid will have a brutal amount of shear to contend with, and may lose that battle. Still, I agree with what another poster wrote on the main thread: Ingrid's worth keeping an eye on -- at least until we see how it contends with the shear and the upper-level low this weekend and beyond.



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