(Weather Analyst)
Fri Sep 02 2011 02:43 PM
Re: Katia Forecast Lounge

Some of the models are trending it back toward the West, but I think the gfs has a pretty good handle on it keeping Katia just offshore of Hatteras as she moves North. The gfs had the best handle on Irene, too.

As for Katia's strength, there is still dry air being pulled in from the South while the central convection continues to try to increase near the center. There won't be much strengthening unless that convection can overcome the dry air intrusion.

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