JMII
(Weather Master)
Wed Oct 05 2016 11:15 PM
Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge

11PM update shows no changes to track, just a note about a slight NNW turn occurring Thursday night. That appears to be what will push Matt more towards the Space Coast and away from the Broward/Palm Beach area in a slow arch. The core is looking really strong but Matt continues to be a small, compact storm. Outflow still appears somewhat limited, especially to the NE where I assume the High is pushing back against him, the SE quadrant shows more expansion. So far he has not "puffed" up yet and maintains 115 MPH in a 45 mile ring only. Hopefully we don't wake up to a huge monster in terms of wind field expansion or a big jump in overall strength. The last few RBTOP frames show a return to the projected path. Still looks to brush the east side of Andros, where Nassau looks to take the worst of it from the NE quadrant.


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