cieldumort
(Moderator)
Sun Sep 02 2018 02:19 PM
Isaac Lounge



Yet another African Easterly Wave is about to roll off that continent and into the far eastern Atlantic. This feature has just been given an opening bid of 20% development odds within 5 days by NHC, and may be Invest tagged within a day or so (will update title as needed).

NHC:
Quote:

A tropical wave located along the west coast of Africa is forecast to move westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic for the next several days. Upper-level winds are expected to gradually become more conducive for some slow development of this disturbance by the middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.



As noted by NHC in the TWO quote above, conditions for near-term development are not good, and do not look nearly as good overall within a five day window as they did for pre-Florence. That said, a weaker wave is likely to track more west - which could mean more of a concern for the Caribbean or central America to the U.S. possibly as soon as 7-10 days out.

Title edited. This is now Invest 92L. 92L is now TD9. NINE will likely be named within 24 hours. The next names on the list are Helene and Isaac. TD9 was named Isaac with the 9/8 5PM Advisory - Ciel



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