MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Sat Sep 08 2018 08:00 AM
Re: Florence Lounge

06Z And Euro Model info

6Z GFS Run scrapes Hatteras Friday morning then loops the storm just offshore until the Following tuesday and out to sea. Shift right from earlier.

0Z FV3 GFS, Charleston Landfall Late Thursday/Early Friday, cat2/3, exits into the Atlatnic near the Outer Banks, second landfall Jacksonville cat 1, Night of Sep 19th. Moves toward the big bend, exits near Jacksonville on the 21st, Cat 2 Scrape on Hatteras on the 23rd, then out to sea.

6Z FV3 GFS Shifts north to a Wilmington, NC landfall Friday morning. meanders to the outer banks, then loops back for a second Wilmington scrape along the NC coast before heading out to sea.

0z Euro hasn't really changed from the prior run except the storm is a bit stronger, landfall late Thursday/Early Friday Cat 3/4 north of Charleston, SC, then inland toward Charlotte, up through the Mountains into Tennessee and Kentuck by Saturday.

Euro Ensembles: Spread still crazy from https://weather.us/cyclone-tracks/euro/724-w-263-n/2018090312-240-florence.html




UK Ensembles: Another left shift from https://ruc.noaa.gov/hfip/tceps/tceps.php?reset=1 (click far right button on the 3rd row-- ukmo)



6z HWRF:





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