cieldumort
(Moderator)
Sun Sep 09 2018 01:56 PM
95L Lounge



A disturbance we have been tracking in the western Caribbean has now been outlined by NHC as an area of interest once it gets into the western Gulf of Mexico, as development is being held in check by moderate shear in the western Caribbean, but shear could be sufficiently lighter closer to Texas.

Both Texas and Louisiana have already picked up copious rains over the past several days from monsoonal moisture, upper air disturbances, weak fronts, and even a borderline-TD . This disturbance could easily exacerbate flooding in the region, regardless of TC genesis.

NHC has placed an opening bid of 20% for TC development within 5 days, and despite limited model support, it could be conservative.

This feature is not yet Invest tagged, but may pick one up today or tomorrow, and the title will be updated accordingly.

This feature is now Invest tagged 95L and the title has been updated. - Ciel




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