| cieldumort |
| (Moderator) |
| Sun Sep 09 2018 05:33 PM |
|
Re: NW Car. - W Gulf Disturbance
|
The ECMWF Ensemble implied probability of this becoming a TD in the Gulf on or before Thursday Sep 13 is now up to 50%. This looks about right to me. I'd probably even say 60%. Officially, NHC still at 20%, but this is likely to go up, perhaps by a lot, should trends continue.
Folks in Texas and Louisiana may want to start considering preparations for a potential heavy rain maker next week, with flooding likely the biggest risk.
