Tue Sep 11 2018 06:48 AM
Re: 95L Lounge

95L had what looks to have been a brief run at tropical cyclogenesis yesterday afternoon, but upper-level winds were just still too prohibitive, and that will probably stay the case until the narrow ULL to 95L's west pinches off and drifts to the southwest (most likely). About that time the wave should be entering or well in the western Gulf, and this is where several models now give the system a solid chance to develop.

Once again, the greatest risk will most likely be from heavy rain, regardless of classification, or not.

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