Mon Sep 17 2018 12:30 PM
Re: Isaac Lounge

Conditions for Isaac's development in the SW ATL at the start of this new week are less favorable than what was being advertised a week ago. Additionally, the now former tropical cyclone is in even worse shape than what most models were expecting just a few days ago. Really, the only model left that redevelops Isaac is the HWRF, but this is not a reliable genesis model, and has been too bullish on Isaac all along. NHC has unsurprisingly lowered the odds of TC formation down to just 10%. ECMWF ensemble implied probably of formation is even less.

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