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12z Sunday GFS 500 hPa anomaly forecast for 12z Monday Oct 8 shows why anything that forms during the next several days too far west (perhaps anything developing west of 70W) and south of 30N is likely to be forced back towards the west (U.S., Mexico and/or central America). Highly anomalous and subject to change, but globals are collectively starting to buy in to this. ![]() |