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0z Model run summary pretty wide range 0z EURO Landfall as a Cat 1 hurricane just west of Ft. Walton Beach (Santa Rosa Island), Thursday morning. Then drifts inland east toward Tallahassee (lots of rain) 0z GFS Cat 2 landfall in the big bend near Fish Creek late Wednesday night. Exits near Savannah Georgia and rides coast up through Sc/NC and out by the outer banks. (Hurricane most of the time) 0z CMC Cat 1 landfall near Grand Isle, LA Wednesday morning, then rapidly iland. 0z FV3 GFS Cat 2 landfall near Pensacola/Mobile Tuesday night. then inland. 0z German Icon Cat 2 landfall near Panama City Beach Wednesday night. 0z UKMet landfall in Big Bend near Perry, FL Cat 3 early Thursday morning. In just now 6z GFS: 6z GFS Landfall borderline cat 3, landfall near Mexico Beach, FL Wednesday night 6z HWRF Cat 3/4 landfall near Pensacola Beach early Wednesday morning. 6z HMON Tropical Storm Landfall SE Louisiana Tuesday night. Euro Ensemble Spread Louisiana to Ft Myers:: ![]() In short LA to Florida needs to watch, things could change very quickly. |