MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Sat Oct 06 2018 06:08 AM
Re: NEW: 91L Lounge

0z Model run summary pretty wide range

0z EURO Landfall as a Cat 1 hurricane just west of Ft. Walton Beach (Santa Rosa Island), Thursday morning. Then drifts inland east toward Tallahassee (lots of rain)
0z GFS Cat 2 landfall in the big bend near Fish Creek late Wednesday night. Exits near Savannah Georgia and rides coast up through Sc/NC and out by the outer banks. (Hurricane most of the time)
0z CMC Cat 1 landfall near Grand Isle, LA Wednesday morning, then rapidly iland.
0z FV3 GFS Cat 2 landfall near Pensacola/Mobile Tuesday night. then inland.
0z German Icon Cat 2 landfall near Panama City Beach Wednesday night.
0z UKMet landfall in Big Bend near Perry, FL Cat 3 early Thursday morning.

In just now 6z GFS:
6z GFS Landfall borderline cat 3, landfall near Mexico Beach, FL Wednesday night
6z HWRF Cat 3/4 landfall near Pensacola Beach early Wednesday morning.
6z HMON Tropical Storm Landfall SE Louisiana Tuesday night.

Euro Ensemble Spread Louisiana to Ft Myers::



In short LA to Florida needs to watch, things could change very quickly.




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