Tue Oct 09 2018 02:46 PM
Re: Michael Lounge

Without question, Michael is making a run for the Big Leagues, and may be a still-intensifying "Major" heading up to and/or right into landfall. Personally, I now put about 99.99% odds of attaining Cat 3 or higher, with a breakdown into the ranges as such

Less than Cat 3 almost 0%
Wind Cat 3 40%
Wind Cat 4 47.5%
Wind Cat 5 12.5%

Michael is going to be a fast-moving major wind hurricane, so we can expect damaging winds well-inland despite weakening from a Cat 3, 4 or 5.

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