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From the 10/12 tropical discussion: A Central American Gyre has formed in the southwest Caribbean GOES-16 Total Precipitable water clear shows large scale rotation associated with the gyre. A surface trough is analyzed through the developing gyre from 18N79W to 13N80W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted from 10N-18N between 70W-84W, although little to no showers are occuring north of 15N and west of 80W. This gyre, or broad low pressure area, will slowly shift W toward central America through early next week. Enhanced showers and thunderstorms are expected to persist over the southwest Caribbean. |