(Weather Guru)
Thu Oct 24 2019 02:14 PM
Re: Disorganized Yucan wave

The rapidly approaching cold front and associated shear will win out, but I think there will be a depression by 5 pm today, then maybe a PTC early Friday, then even a low-end tropical storm form later in the day before the cold front scoops up and absorbs the system.
GOMEX visible sat loop
If this area had another 24-48 hours to linger over the 80F+ waters of the Bay of Campeche ahead of the arrival of the cold front, the potential for tropical cyclogenesis would much more concerning.

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