Tue Jul 09 2019 11:35 AM
Re: Invest 92 L (Georgia System) Forecast Lounge

12Zs are coming out now

12Z GFS, so far more convection than the earlier one, At 30 hours, it's a bit further south and stronger than the 6z run. At 48 hours, it's south of the Mississippi Delta by a good ways and stronger than the 6z run. Suggesting a depression Thursday afternoon. Tropical Storm on Friday, about the same as Euro intensity wise, although the GFS is slightly further north.
Friday night has it moving further west and hitting close to or at hurricane strength. Landfall cat 1/2 near Cameron, LA late Saturday night or Early Sunday morning.

12z Icon remains mostly the same, but with more convection, showing a CAT 2 landfall in S. Central Louisiana Saturday morning.

12Z UKmet gets the system to a strong cat 3 (945mb) before landfall near Holly Beach, La late Saturday night or early Sunday morning.

12Z Euro has a cat 1/2 (984mb) landfall somewhere in central Louisiana late morning/midday on Saturday

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