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I'm mentioning it because of how crazy it is, but 3k nam is showing an 866mb system in the Gulf on Friday night. Nam is NOT good for forecasting tropical storms, but if the trends toward RI are there, the official forecast may be on the weak side. Barry will likely be a small system so it can spin up and down quickly. Even if the storm does not get that strong the rain is already going to be a problem (it was today in NOLA). Almost all the models show speedy strengthening starting tomorrow. |