Thu Aug 20 2020 12:23 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge

12z Gfs, keeps the system very weak (but strengthens TD#14). Landfall near Largo Late Monday as a weak wave or TD.

12z Icon shoots the Florida straits and then landfalls near Alligator Point in the Big Bend as a cat 2/3 Wednesday night.

12z Canadian cat 1/2 landfall near Homestead Monday Afternoon, then Mexico beach landfall on Early Wednesday as a cat 1/2.

12z HWRF, over turks Caicos, cat 2 on Sunday midday, cat 2/3 over Crooked Island Sunday afternoon, over Great Exuma Saturday night, cat 2/3, over Andros Island early Monday, cat 3. Landfall, downtown Miami Cat 4 Midday Monday. Cat 1/2 over Tampa Tuesday Morning, ends run back in the Gulf as a cat 2.

12z HMON Avoid direct landfall will all but the northern Tip of Andros, on Monday morning, as a cat 2. Landfall Cat 3 Midday Monday near Boca Raton, Just north of Tampa, Cat 1, By Tuesday morning, then exits briefly in the Gulf by Cedar Key, before another landfall in the Big Bend.

12z Euro doesn't do much with TD13, wave crosses the keys Monday morning, not strong. Then landfall near Pensacola sill very week Wednesday. It does send TD14 toward Galveston as a Tropical storm, however.

GFS Ensembles:

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