Thu Sep 10 2020 01:26 PM
Re: Vigorous E Atlantic Wave

Above: Tropical Low Invest # TBD 09/10/20 1645z
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The vigorous wave that has just rolled off west Africa and is now centered over 100 miles southeast of the southernmost Cabo Verde islands is developing a robust low pressure center and a Tropical Depression appears to be in the offing.

As development appears to be occurring sooner rather than later, and may continue on an upward trajectory for some time, as was likely, it is possible that this cyclone begins to feel the tug north earlier than the recent runs of the ECMWF and GFS models predict, but this is far from certain. A subtle adjustment here or there in the relative strength or weakness of the ridge to its north could have all the influence as to far how west the cyclone ultimately gets.

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