Tue Oct 06 2020 01:21 AM
Re: Delta Lounge

10 06 0z model runs coming in that are adapting to the more southern initial position as well as increased strength are continuing a trend of placing the Yucatan under a direct threat for a Cat 3 - 5 impact, and then an even farther run west, to possibly ride just offshore of the Texas coast before making landfall in Louisiana.

This is a reasonable solution, and an extremely dangerous outcome if verified.

The last two serious hurricanes to directly impact in and around Cancun were Wilma (2005) and Gilbert (1988) (h/t Michael Ventrice). History doesn't necessarily repeat itself, but it can rhyme, and several of the better models have them impacted at Cat 3-5 range.

Later in the period, a trof coming across Texas is expected to turn Delta north and then north-northeast, but timing and relative strength of both are critical. Continued shifts to the left or right are likely. Even tonight recon is finding evidence that a center reformation may again be underway (odd for a hurricane).

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center