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The GFS and Euro ensembles have been hinting for the past several days at something in the West Caribbean or Southeast GUlf, including this morning where a hurricane shows up in a few of the EPS Ensembles next week. The GFS has been going back and forth (This morning showing a hurricane in the Gulf approaching the W. Coast of Florida on the 17th) But in prior runs shifted around a lot. As general for long range hints like these, until something develops, they are nothing more on indicators of general areas to watch (W/Carib or around Cuba late this weekend) for persistence over the coming days. |