Fri Jun 11 2021 08:18 AM
Re: Long Range Model Speculation 2021

Alignment on the various models for the area in the Bay of Campeche that may develop is approaching. GFS, Euro, and Canadian all show something forming (At varying strengths) later next week for something to landfall near Texas or Louisiana on Saturday the 19th.

At this point since nothing has developed, hyper focusing on track or strength right now is not a great idea, but the rain potential is pretty large at the very least.

One thing notable in the GFS/Euro models, There is strong winds coming in over the Caribbean combined with the moisture it is pushing in and with the rotation of the cyclone. The winds are could spin up the storm even further, not a good setup for the gulf coast for rain and surge at least.

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