cieldumort
(Moderator)
Sun Oct 10 2021 03:20 PM
Re: 91E: TX/GOM Potential

Invest 91E has become a Tropical Cyclone and is now TD SIXTEEN in the EPAC, likely to become Pamela today, and could easily undergo Rapid Intensification at least once.

Now that official NHC forecasts have been issued, it will be best to pay closest attention to them, as well as to continue to monitor model forecasts from quality models like the GFS.

For now, NHC is predicting dissipation over northeastern Mexico. If that were to verify, copious moisture would likely stream into much of the United States from dissipating ex-Pamela.

Early QPF forecast out of WPC for 10/14-10/16



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