Sun Dec 19 2021 02:31 AM
Pre-Christmas Gulf/SE Coastal Low

Models are about unanimously forecasting a pre-Christmas storm of a cool core/ trending symmetric-subtropical nature to develop in the Gulf by early to midweek, track ENE across Florida midweek, and into the southwestern Atlantic - Gulf Stream by the weekend.

This system as models currently forecast appears to be worthy of an upcoming Invest tag, and possibly a name. Given that the impacts would be felt over land (and Florida, specifically), and at a time of year when it may surprise many to learn of a strong coastal/subtropical storm approaching, we will open a lounge a bit quicker than usual on this anticipated system.

As of 12/19/21 06z, this potential cyclone has not yet started to develop. Additional information will be coming soon.

The image below (Credit: shows the ECMWF forecast maximum gusts associated with this low pressure system for Tuesday Dec 21 9AM CST.

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