Tropical Depression 16 has formed in the far southern Caribbean Sea about 300 miles east of Bluefields, Nicaragua, near 11.2N 79,4W with winds of 30 knots gusting to 40 knots. Central pressure is 1002MB and the tropical cyclone is currently stationary. Easterly windshear is expected to slowly relax and with SSTs of 29C additional intensification is likely - at least to strong tropical storm status in a couple of days. Perhaps quicker as small storms can ramp up rapidly.
A building ridge well to the east will eventually nudge the system to the west with landfall in Nicaragua and rapid weakening thereafter and a remnant sytem moving into the eastern Pacific. The next name on the list this active season is Otto.
ED