stormchazer
(Storm Tracker)
Fri Sep 26 2003 11:52 AM
Re: TD 16 & NW Carib

FRom the 11am:

SURFACE PRESSURES ARE FALLING IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
THERE HAS BEEN AN INCREASE IN THE SHOWER ACTIVITY. SATELLITE IMAGES
INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED BETWEEN
HONDURAS AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST AND...IF NECESSARY...A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL
INVESTIGATE THE AREA ON SATURDAY.

Looks like the models were on to something. With favorable conditions in the West Carribean and little tropical activity to churn the warm waters (mid to high 80s). I wonder if this may develop quickly once and if a LLC develops.

This discussion also reaffirms that TD16 is swimming with the fish. Noticed NRL has TD16 listed as 16L.noname but no upgrade at 11am.



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