Sat Sep 27 2003 02:21 AM
tropical depressions galore

when the season is over, there is going to be a flurry of tropical depression tracks, from systems that never matured past this stage (or did and without direct observation conservative nhc play kept them as such). td 16 is the next candidate for that distinction, as the nhc kept it a depression in spite of satelite classifications indicating a higher strength (convection removal makes the cloud pattern correlation iffy). still, we're currently at six as the number of depressions that have never made t.s. strength this season.. t.d. 16 could easily make it seven if it shears out.
so, anyway... juan on its merry way to the canadian maritimes.. joy.
90L in the western caribbean long forecast to begin organizing.. playing convective peek-a-boo. as good as it currently looks, expect it to be a classified system by sunday, and be up near south florida around tuesday. system east of florida is under a lot of shear and won't be of tropical origin if it tries anything.
so, thats the basin.
HF 0622z27september

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