Rich B
(British Meteorologist)
Sun Sep 28 2003 07:13 AM
Re: systems go

Hey guys,
i'm back after a two week absence that saw Isabel slam into NC. Why do these things happen when i cant get to a PC??

Any way, looks like there are a few areas to watch at the moment. The first, and most significant is Juan, about 450 miles south of Halifax. A well developed and pretty tight little system, but packing 105 mph winds. Looks like the metro area of Halifax is set for a bit of a pounding later as this thing makes landfall as a (probable) minimal Hurricane. Could cause some minor damage due to the high winds and dangerous surf and surge conditions.

Kate is still going along quite nicely, but no threat to land. Latest visible imagery shows improving outflow to the north of the system, and although the official forecast does not show here making it to Hurricane intensity, i think she has a chance to do so today.

The third area of interest is the disturbance off the coast of Cozumel. This system is still being given a TNImber of 1.0/1.0 and i think it could be classified just before it moves onto the Yucatan Peninsula. Will probably have to wait til recon get out to it though, to see it classified.

Anyway, thats my thoughts



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