Am I correct that recon is still about 2 hours out? Ernesto is a strange storm..2 hours ago it looked like the coc was going to go over the tip of Haiti...but it now looks on both Vis and Infrared that the center has either stalled or is moving very slowley on a due west coarse...I know they wobble but it is interesting to see the shift in convection..also, any Mets, if this storm stalls, could it possibly miss the trough later in the week, and meander around the southern gulf? Especially if it stays south of Cuba?

PS...Its amazing th epower of the media..the paper this morning here in Pcola had last nights track which was right at us, and I went to Lowes this morning to get supplies for a bar b que and the crowds were ridiculous..grabbing gas cans..etc......I guess everyone up here will be well prepared for anything later on.