(Weather Analyst)
Sat Jun 06 2009 03:55 PM
Re: 'Spurious' NW Caribbean Low ??


I'm glad there isnt alot of 5 days + guesscasting going on in here compared to other sites.

Right now the disturbance off Nicaragua is a weak area of low pressure...until it gets better organized
and has model support (outside the GFS)..then nothing much really to say.

That's a good sign that there hasn't been guess/wishcasting. The GFS being the only model showing any significant development and, as has been noted, tends to be a bit aggressive, a grain of salt is necessary at this point. Being "that time of year," it just bears watching.

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