MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Mon Jul 13 2009 06:30 PM
Keep it Slow!

This July will likely be without much if any tropical activity, El niƱo is likely to keep activity quiet in August. There is not much going on (other than a wave in the Central Atlantic that has much more going against it than for it).

To keep to the side of Hurricanes without the Hype, it's important to remember. Hurricanes and Tropical storms are not the norm. A few to quite many form a year in the Atlantic, depending on the overall conditions around the area. The best way to approach development projections is to look for everything going against development rather than stretching to find things in favor of it. When the reasons for lack of development drop off, then is the time to really look.

Atlantic storm tracking is not a sport, it's an activity and risk associated with living along or near the Atlantic, Caribbean, and Gulf coasts. Nature is something you cannot stop, but in the form of Hurricanes, at least you can be well aware of it. Flhurricane focuses on storm information and interpreting it in order to try to avoid the hype that happens all too often with media and some internet sites. Official data is most important of all, but if you are looking for more, it's important to know the motivations of those giving it. This site is donation ran (which hardly ever covers the costs) mostly as a learning exercise and is not attempting to gather popularity by drumming up every swirl in the Atlantic or by making radical statements without being backed up.

I hope everyone does take a look at all the various links on the internet and judge for yourself where to find information. The biggest problem with it is the focus, you really want to know how a storm affects you and your family/business, etc. It has nothing to do with us here or the site, and that's the approach we take here. We would much rather have no storms at all to track in a year than a major event like Katrina in 2005, or the 4 Florida systems in 2004.

This very focused attitude of the site may not work for everyone, but it's the only way to keep it relevant in the critical days before a storm in trying to keep the noise down. Local media and government is always better for an immediate local area, but longer term planning should take into account first the NHC and other official sources, with supplemental information from sites like these.

2009 has been slow so far, but it could change, and when it does we'll tell you why something may not happen instead of trying to stretch what may to bring in the hype.

Hopefully the quiet July will continue.


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